TECHNICALS FOR DECEMBER.

November is now behind us and we move into December with a very sombre note after the Mumbai episode. Just lost track of technicals etc in the last few days..Anyhow very important to watch 2850-60 zone .This will be the S/R for the month of December. The range could be BTW,2050 to 3650 ie end to end. Weekly technicals suggest watching 2750 zone , range being 2900-2600. All figures given are for NIFTY FUTURE. HAPPY TRADING ..

RESILIANT INDIA

Markets closed in positive despite the worst possible enviroment in MUMBAI & the battle with terrorists still raging hard at all 3 places..Point to be observed is we closed over last months settlement (october)..( this has happened after sometime..)..2718 was where the markets were taking support from ,and then making their move upwards towards 2760-80 range..Do not wish to write anymore today as my heart is still with our security forces in MUMBAI..waiting for this nonsense to finish..lets all pray..good day.

SETTLEMENT DAY SWINGS

Watch the pivot today for cues ie 2718, as market could swing anywhich way.Supports at 2690 deeper again at 2640-50 and resistance at 2760-80..best is to see how trade unfolds and take it from there. Keep the trade size low today & let the settlement and the Mumbai incident pass over the weekend.Cheers.

A VERY SAD DAY.

This is one of the SADDEST DAYS i have witnessed in many years when through out the night we saw our countrys financial capital being held hostage so ruthlessly by a bunch of terrorists. My Heart goes out for all the brave Maharastra policeman, defence/ security personnal and innocent employess/guests /bystanders killed or maimed by this incidence. I hope our central goverment & specially our politicians rise above petty squabbles to finally do something for this country , specially against terrorism. JAI HIND.

WHAT A DAY

Markets never broke the 2630 levels given b4, tested the base and then moved straight over the pivot 2690 for a run for the resistance ie 2750-60 zone..HOWS THAT FOR A RANGE CALL...The bias seemed distinctly negative today to many , and they went short , got trapped and had to pull the STOP LOSSES in the end ..longer timeframe in intra day charts was warning from the morning of a move up, despite negative cues,thats why had cautioned friends visiting my blog to be careful of this volatality and that will damage the mind and pocket...anyhow good profits again for intraday traders(a few of my friends included , trading with me today) following technicals/ charts..lets see , tomorrow again is a new day..cheers.

UNDECIDED

Markets are undecided about their direction, due to lower participation near resistances...& also still not convinced about leaving the lows behind...The pivot for today is 2690 zone with 2580-90 as a support zone and 2750-60 as resistance zone ..Keep your trades on lighter side till markets make a decesive move.We are into the last 2 days of settlement and can witness swings , so trade intraday carefully so as not to be whipsawed either way.,,happy trading ..cheers.

ROLLER COASTER RIDE

Markets opened with a gap up and immedietly started selling , held on for a while and then as the day high was not cleared for over 2 hrs , it just gave way, loosing all the days gain to go much below yesterdays close . ITS A CLASSIC REVERSAL DAY TODAY. Markets below 2750 came teasingly close to my support of 2630, and it came there so easily that it is a tad difficult to accept .. Well weakness is verey evident and lets look at the charts again to make a semblence of what happened today & whats in store from here.. Hope all took profits of the longs or had TSL today on their longs...CHEERS.

GLOBALLY POSITIVE

It seems the bailout package of CITI , announced yesterday provided the cue for the upward rally.Asia is following US news again.Technically speaking I had written that we should not close below 2524 & we did not and moved up to over 2630 quickly from there. The target always was 2750 -2860-70 . People who are long in FNO can start boooking around the resistance zone or keep strict TSL. KEEP close below 2630 as TSL for all longs for times ahead. Short Term indicators are showing positive cues, in case we are able to consolidate and keep making higher lows the bear market rally is in place. lets watch the next few days for the cues.enjoy the trade today ..cheers

WHAT A DAY

The markets became volatile right from the word go and traded in the range written in the blog today.....2750-2630,,,, hope all enjoyed todays call and again it proved to be a traders day.., Some amount of help is reqd. to push the markets to 2860 and above zone..Otherwise it may just start drifting downwards again..Lets hope some cues come from overseas markets ..weekly range pls. keep in mind for trading...take care cheers ..

TRADING RANGE

Looking at the chart above we are looking at a range of 2750-2870 and supports at 2630 zone.The TSI has turned positive but needs to cross zero to gather strength for any upmove..( the weekly range already given below ).The melt down over the weekend of CITI GROUP is having its effects on the Asian trade today,CITI incidently has good holdings in equities all around including India.Hope all turns out well, otherwise another round of liquidation can start in Asia etc.Trade with caution, as this week has lots of news coming, hopefully positive ,trade with the trend..Cheers.

INVESTTIMES ARTICLE..(NOV issue)

The article in BSL's INVESTTIMES in the november issue..the link below.page 52
http://www.birlasunlife.com/distributiontsetIMS/new/Investime_Nov_08.pdf
Hope all enjoy it ..cheers..

THE WEEK NEXT WEEK.

Asia up, India well up, US , despite weakness proppped up...Did i write buy select stocks, and indicators severely oversold and 7 days of fall....& we are just there ..( just recaps from last 2 days views) of hope my views are helping visitors to my blog become adept traders as thats what markets wants us to be for some time to come. The target clearly was 2750 , we just about reached there, and if we hold 2680-60 and deeper 2630-40, we can surely head for 2750 , and then to 2860 range, remember that gr8 support area which will now be the big resistance to cross....in case of move over 2860 maybe we head for targets like 2920-2990 zone. The broader range for this coming week is 2500-2900..Trade accordingly...enjoy the weekend ..cheers.

SURPRISE SURPRISE

Despite huge bearish calls by many experts specially after the US markets crashed of nifty falling to sub 2450 range and below , did not help their cause as markets did the unthinkable , moved up from morning trade only and despite heavy sell off regained all lost ground to move over 2700.., making them hopefullyto wonder as to what happened.Technically , markets had unfolded todays move yesterday and i had pointed out that the late cross done by the market of days high and severe oversold position and today being 8th day of the downtrend,..the move up over the pivot will be towards 2750...We surely are heading there..Hope all visiting here enjoyed the call..cheers.

PS again a gr8 day for traders with unbiased mind and following the trends.App. 400 points of NIFTY.

WEEKEND BLUES

Finally the US markets after lots of wait broke their lows yesterday. Asia markets are weak and CRUDE ........ (god knows where it will halt, good for the world.)..Now can we say that lows of 2008 are already made for the whole world & the BEAR RALLY can resume.Lets watch tonite & start of next week for the cues...I think we are almost there.Next few days will confirm this or if we slide further to test the october lows.., watch 2470 zone for support today & we will complete 8 straight days of fall today. .. 2563 is todays PIVOT for the day and cross of 2582 can take us to 2750 zone...Trade accordingly...cheers
PS: will look at some charts during the weekend for more cues and targets etc.

FINDING SUPPORTS OR HIGHER BOTTOMS.

Despite huge bearishness around our markets did go below 27th october, monday close, traded for some time and smartly bounced back despite repeated selling, closing smartly at days high and over 2524 the close of that fateful monday....Bulls did come in to stop the free fall , and it looked like short covering started at the end..Its was important for market to breach and go above 2575.80 today only , and it did 2582.85 in dying moments. If todays low holds for the next 2-3 days, we will surely see a decent rallyup due to WAVE C being formed from here... .Watch & trade accordingly..Most stocks from the Index were at very attractive prices again..Indicators short/medium are very oversold & TODAY WAS THE 7TH DAY OF THE FALL....CHEERS

WASHOUT AGAIN

Markets all over have plunged , and will trigger our market too to gap down.Falling markets have no supports but still supports lie in zone of 2524 and further down at 2468. Select stocks where profits were taken at tops can be picked up today/tomorrow as per your risk appetite as they will again be available at attractive prices with todays open.This is still part of the bottom formation & consolidation , where markets go and test the recent bottoms to see where participants are finding the balance.As markets this month are rewarding both ways , be a trader this whole month .Everyday market is rewarding, so no need to take risks , just follow the trend of the day...CHEERS.

SELL OFF AGAIN

Markets in India despite weak Asian cues ,hesitated and then took off and retested the tops made at 2771 zone, where selling came slowly but surely.The selling then was relentless till the end of day and markets went below the support levels of 2630.Overall if one noticed in the last 2 days the rise was on lower volumes and still the selling is on higher volumes. IT WAS A TRADERS PARADISE AGAIN , FOR PEOPLE FOLLOWING CHARTS/PATERNS (simple yahoo charts , links which are provided in my blog too would have enjoyed the ride )..What next, lets see it tomorrow morning ..take care ..Cheers.

ANY BOUNCE BACK FROM HERE ???????

We are at a very critical levels 2630 zone which is basically 61.8% of the total rise from 2252-3240. Point to be noted here that the WAVE B generally does a 61.8% correction of WAVE A,failing which it can then trail down to around 78%, failing which it can take us all the way to october 27th low or lower.Now in case we hold around these areas, get ready for a good ride up for the WAVE C. 3050 is the NF S/R still . trade accordingly..(Asia is in negative territory still)...lets watch the next day or so closely for some cues & trade accordingly..cheers

TRADERS PARADISE

I had said at the begening of this month , that November will be a month for traders, all smart traders are taking positions with the direction on a intraday basis, squaring of at EOD and starting afresh the next day, ( much better than being biased , taking a postion short or long, and then after some up/down YO YO by the market nextday squaring off near the buys ,with next to nothing profits). Traders who squared off yesterday got the trade DOWN -UP-DOWN-UP-DOWN.. today , even a novice would have caught it well, and would have made good money.. Incidently markets after breaking 2750 took support around 2670 zone today..Trading should be the mantra for a few more days/weeks maybe..enjoy the day ..cheers..

RETESTING LOWS

Markets all over are retesting their lows again and again and trying to get to the next bottom , which could be near/lower/higher than old lows.There are no positive cues coming from any GOVT. now and it seems all the guns have been fired and markets now will have to find its own path despite all the bad news coming daily from all around.Our levels to watch will be 2860-2900 on higher side and 2750-2670 on the lower side..Trade accordingly as global cues today are soft to negative..cheers

SUPPORTS TESTED

Supports were tested at 2750-2700 zone today after the markets slipped in the opening . Smart recovery was made in last hr. of trade making markets go for a while went into positive territory, then came the profit taking in the end by intraday players.It seems at lower levels participants are not ready to press shorts and are just covering their short positions of the last few days. Today was the 8th day from the top ie 3240, so shorts were cautious and covered at the first sign of pull back.Positive overseas cues will take us to at least 2860 zone cross of which only we can think of somekind of rally till settlement. CHEERS.

SOFT MARKETS

Markets in Asia are just about doing nothing and are flat to negative. Levels have been given for next week, in case markets do not sucumb to pressure in the next few days ,it may go to retest the recent tops made at 3254-3240, trade accordingly...Cheers.

TOUGH WEEK AHEAD

it will be a tough week ahead and could be a traders nightmare if one is caught on the wrong foot.I will advise all to trade with caution and see the trend before plunging resources for a longer committed play.2900 ZONE seems to be the S/R for next week. We had ended the week on negative grounds with wild swings & as US markets too gyrated wildly on friday ending finally in negative territory , it will be worth watching the Asian start for the next weeks cues.Watch 2760 closely for weakness downwards.& 2920 for upward breakout in NF..happy trading CHEERS.

MIXED TRADE- NO CUES

Very volatile day trading again like yesterday in a YO YO fashion. The range market made today is 2780-2860 where it spent most of the day.Lets see how the G20 meeting goes for any cues for the coming weeks..will look into charts for some footprints over the weekend..time for relaxing and some fun..cheers

WEEKEND G20 MEETING.

Looks like the world indexes are not taking any chance as the G20 summit takes place this weekend for radical steps to be taken to ease the WORLD FINANCIAL DISORDER, and have started by covering short positions before this event . As per the chart i posted yesterday, area to watch is wednesdays low of 2780-2750 zone as of now for any weakness to continue , if that area is held in close , our markets may try to consolidate in the 2860 zone once again , and attempt 2990-3085-3220 area..Trade light over this weekend and follow the trend formed from next week....cheers

WHERE ARE WE HEADING.

The chart above shows the path where nifty was to head through the speed lines. the R2 which was at 3250 could not be crossed , R3 is at app. 3700 .Onthe way down it breached 3085-2860 and halted at 2780 zone to close higher due to short covering.kindly note from the chart that BOLLINGER BANDS have turned and are flat as of now , meaning that any deeper falls below 2780, will get good support beyond 2631 area at 2536 and 2424 zone.Right now we have filled 2 gaps of the 4 which were created in this rise up from 27/10/08 till 12/11/08.
Any breach of the 2 levels of bollinger will rocket us to old lows and lower in the the zone of 2000-2100 area. Please take your direction/positional/ trading call for the next 4-5 trading daysas you feel fit .....cheers.

PS: I received mails/offline messages for posting my views for a week or so ahead, hope this helps..

SEA SAW DAY

What a ride LOW-HIGH-LOW-LOWER-RETRACE..... ..morning short covering took the markets at high point 2975 and sudden selling made us break and test the 2 levels mentioned again and again by me...ie 2860-2780.. In case we break today low we will head for 2631 and above 2860-80 we head for 2990...Trade accordingly..cheers

MARKETS TODAY

Markets are a little bit weak still but do not show any massive unloading..Watching RIL yesterday, one could see that strong hands are coming to support it below 1200, and W/O RIL , dont think markets can travel southwards much.If markets fail to break 2860 and make a higher high, well then we are looking at 3400-3649 as possible targets again over 3240. Above 2960-70 nifty is strong ..A break below 2860 will quickly take us to the 2800-2780 zone and all the way to 2670.This is the litmus test which i had mentioned a few days back , the market has to undergo to test the bulls strength. I still feel that the BOTTOM maybe in place already, (lets watch 2631 closely for any low testing). happy trading ...cheers
PS: will post some charts tomorrow , being a holiday.

SOUTHWARD BOUND

Well well nifty showed weakness from the opening only and started loosing steam , catching the bulls by surprise , slipped below 3085 and quickly moved towards 2990-3220 area , where it tried to hold but slipped to a low of 2919 intraday. We have to watch 2860-2860 for some support failing which we will go to the next levels of 2780-2670-2631 area quickly..Hope all had booked their longs & taken short trading positions ..lets see where this ends before any positions in long can be thought of, as the sell today was big..enjoy the day...cheers..

PROFIT TAKING

Markets in Asia are soft due to weak global cues.Resistance of 3220-40 may not be tested today and support at 3085 should lend support failing which markets may retest 3020-2990 levels. Watch this level closely for getting out of longs as markets maynot hold 2860 this time if it ventures in that territory. Trade with caution in small trades to allow market to make up its mind and then follow the trend. Remember this month will be traders delight and strictly follow the trend , not your heart....happy trading..CHEERS.

STRONG PULLBACK

Our markets carried forward the gains and the S/R levels of 3050 , again worked as a beaut. for going long. Markets closed trade at the top of the day , trapping the baby bears once again who were short on friday and went short again today.. The charts clearly were showng resistance at the zone of 3200-20 in nf & thats where the markets seem to be going today.. Short covering was witnessed at the last 1/2 hr trade as Europe was up and US futures over 200.Positive global cues may give a fillip to our markets tomorrow on opening . Do post all your profits again in stocks or NF longs.., wait then for the market to tell its mind...cheers

PS: MS DHONI and his team deserve a congrats& a pat for putting the massive aussie machinary down on the mat twice in this series.

POSITIVE CUES

As expected Asian markets are responding to US clues and trading in the positive territory. As suggested in the weekly technicals nifty will face resistance in the range of 3085 to 3240. Trade with the trend , till a reversal or weakness is in place.Book profits if any have been left out and wait for good dips to enter again for bounce up. Supports and Resistance levels have been clearly told in the weekly technicals. Cheers.

NEXT WEEK

Nifty took support around 2850 levels and moved up once again. Global cues remaining positive next week , NS can retest 3085-3120-3200 zone once again..cross of 3240 can zip the markets to 3650 zone..Time to be cautiuos at highs again ,as the markets can go lower(Break of 2860 will zip us to lower levels of 2631-2525 quickly) to either test old lows or make higher lows . If the lows hold ,then it is time maybe to buy for medium term, the better performing stocks.. hold them for 2-3 months for a ride up.Remember monthly S/R is 3050 for NF..Happy Trading....cheers

PS: do visit for a EXCELLENT MULTI YEAR SUPPORT/ RESISTANCE chart posted by nifty chaser @http://www.niftytopsnbottoms.blogspot.com/

RESILIANT MARKETS

Despite bad US clues , markets in Asia , including BSE/NSE rallied strongly, absorbing all sell calls of the day. NS 2850 held and strong hands, maybe new ones , pressed the basket buying route as it was a secular run for almost all stocks.Will watch 3050 NF & 3085 NS for next week..Bottoms still have to be retested so dont be complacent in the coming week or so, be traders and trade light & be fleetfooted..Markets are rewarding the traders daily.Catch the trend w/o bias ..enjoy the weekend ..cheers..

WEAKNESS OR CONSOLIDATION

Nifty dropped froma top of 3240( A strong resistance zone) and is consolidating around 2850 area, support below is 2780-2700-2630 and resistance to any upmove will again be 3050. Shorts should be avoided over 3050 & any longs if initiated around here should be traded with strict stoplosses as supports are way down.Selected stock pickings can be done on the way down for a trading bounce..enjoy the trade....cheers

PROFIT TAKING

Markets carried on with their corrective phase, stopped at around critical support in 2850 area ( written before) , spending much time there and then a sudden rush to yesterdays close , with sell out again, as people trapped in longs just wanted to get out..Markets are showing resiliance and have only shaken out the excesses it has done on the way up..Intraday indicators have moved down too in the last 2 days easing the overbought indicators....watch 2850 area closely below which 2778 will provide good support..If one looks at the cross section of butchered stocks one may be surprised that they are inching up despite last 2 days falls, (someone is finding value)..Hope for the best , lets see how things pan out in the next few days....cheers & have a nice time.

PROFIT TAKING

After putting behind the major event last night ie US presidential elections , Markets have slipped well today all over on profit taking of the dream run of the last many days ..As advised all profits to be booked yesterday will leave smiles on the followers of this blog. Weakness started despite great opening yesterday and 2 levels , the close day before & 3050 crumbled like nine pins.This was a fake out to trap baby bulls. Support levels have already been given, 2850-2780 below 2950 zone..This pull back will clear the trend for the coming weeks/months..let the dust settle , market will show you the new lower or higher lows then get into long positions..patience will be the key to future profits now.. trade accordingly...cheers

HISTORY MADE TODAY

US today fullfilled the dream of one of the greatest AFRO AMERICANS , Dr Martin Luther King, whose famous words still ring a bell , I HAVE A DREAM........BY electing Mr Barak Obama, The next President of America...TRUE SPIRIT OF FREE ENTERPRISE AND DREAM FOR ALL....Hope this augurs a new dawn for the world order...
Coming back to our markets , they saluted the US results and as expected and written in the morning, slumped completely to selling pressure as the markets went really overbought today..touching my levels of 3085 and then almost 2950..will see how trade fares in the next coming days ..This will be litmus test for the market to trade ,test, consolidate and find a new bottom which will tell all where we are headed in the next few weeks and months ..dont be in a hurry to buy..Take care ..cheers..

EUPHORIC NOW

The S/R 0f 3050 NF got breached yesterday on the upperside and the follow up today seems to turn the world markets into the party mode and the main trend which was UP, continues today too (SGX nifty around 3300). Time to book all profits today & maybe stay on the sidelines for a day or so as now the Markets will go in overbought /stretch mode. Be careful at these levels and wait for good dips to go long again.Strong resistance zone will be 3300-3350 area. Support will be there now in range of 3085-2950 zone below which will be 2780-2850.. People who panicked and sold at bottom or did not buy would surely be rueing along with sell on rise guys.I had commented on a Friends blog (LEE'S) that FORTUNE FAVOURS THE BRAVE......CHEERS

BULLISH STILL

Target given of 3050-3150 both achieved today, markets shrugged off the selling pressure today and slowly but surely moved above 3050 towards 3150 , heading maybe towards 3221 the minimum target I posted in the WAVE charts..The last 1 hour trade surprised many and the shorts of the last few days got completely butchered thus forcing big short covering. Had mentioned before also that as the weak hands are out & the strong hands have no fear of sell ,also the short covering of lended stocked sold by FII is taking place too making the markets go higher.Hope all enjoyed the ride up...as this was really a spectacular all the way..cheers

PROFIT TAKING TO SIDEWAYS

Markets will need fresh buying momentum to push forward , maybe with news or triggers in the coming days failing which it will be sideways to corrective dips of this huge rise from bottom. Markets can retest the bottom again or maybe stop higher thereby signalling to participants its footprint for trade to come in the coming weeks/months.Point to note here is Momentum/Index shares despite of severe beating , did a smart recovery.Wait a bit for market cues to settle before intitiating any longs..the trading ranges have already been given during the weekend... happy trading....CHEERS.

PULLBACK CONTINUES

Markets gapped up and continued their upwards journey absorbing all selling coming from short term traders.., closing in the end at the upper end of the days trade. Short squeeze was the order of the day and ( SELL IN RISE, baby bears) kept waiting with sinking hearts for some fall or respite so they can get out of their positions.. will the markets correct, surely they will , this is 5 th day from the bottom and a 800 point nifty ride..BUT WHEN & WHERE..well well this is the hard part ..no one knows but it should come about in a day or so.the resistance range still is 3050-3150 NS.. enjoy the evening, cheers

TENTATIVE WAVE COUNT

Attached above is a tentative 5 wave count from may 2003 to january 2008 & maybe corrective WAVE A at 2252. The markets can experience a corrective 3 wave upmove to form WAVE B,(B1,B2,B3 are the probable targets ).The corrective 1st wave has started most likely from 2252 and as said before 3050-3150 seems to be the target right now..After completion of the WAVE B, the markets will resume their downwards journey to make the final WAVE C. The normal time taken for the upmove is anything between 6-10 weeks app. (Lets see where the correction of this 1st wave up takes us down to & from wherewe correct , as at this stage generally external help pours in also , which propels markets up along with short squeeze..)

Such panic bottoms are a normally traps for the baby bears (SELL ON RISE TYPE )who keep shorting the rise thinking the down waves will continue , whereas the smart bears have already turned a bit bullish..The technicals for the week and month were discussed below..Hope this helps all who are confused and asking all experts ,as to how to trade in the coming days and weeks..enjoy the ride up ..cheers

BRAVEHEARTS WHO BOUGHT STOCKS CAN KEEP BOOKING.
PS : SGX nifty is up and running..

NOVEMBER MONTH POSSIBLE RANGE.

The range for NF in october was very high, 4061-2228, which basically did unprecedented damage & carnage , not seen in decades in India or anywhere in world markets..Ocober ended with some respite..How will November pan out??????..NOVEMBER ZONE to watchout for i feel is NF 3050, Above that if we get a few closes , the BULLS can take over , below that well , BEARS back again at their job..The range could be large again as of now between 2100-3800. For this WEEK watch 3150 for RESISTANCE & 2670-80 levels for support, below which, support will be at 2500 area ..As selling is overdone, and weak hands are already out or completely desimated, strong hands should lend support at everydip and carry the market further up in the next month or so.At every level participants still stuck in positions will keep getting out or deleveraging their positions, thereby keeping the markets under pressure for some time to come. A good stratergy could be PLAY the SELL CARD when markets make lower highs, and the BUY CARD when markets make higher lows with strict stop losses in place.. Basically meaning become traders for sometime. Wishing all of you a happy November Month,,,,,,cheers.